A short winning run cannot validate every decision behind it
Retain the original decision rule through the review window.
Read more →Analysis / Racing insight
Review a run of results without confusing a favourable outcome with a sound explanation.
Outcomes are noisy, and a useful process can still have disappointing results.
Process and Outcomes
Five winners followed by an immediate rule change
Stability of the evaluation rule helps learning; it does not justify persisting with a demonstrably broken method.
Explore the example →Strike rate & uncertainty
Review a run of results without confusing a favourable outcome with a sound explanation.
Open the tool →Put the research into context.
Review a run of results without confusing a favourable outcome with a sound explanation.