Analysis / Interactive tool

Strike rate & uncertainty

Review a run of results without confusing a favourable outcome with a sound explanation.

Descriptive rate and 95% Wilson interval. Not adjusted for the quality or composition of opportunities.

Enter your values, then calculate or validate.

Use the result in context

Stability of the evaluation rule helps learning; it does not justify persisting with a demonstrably broken method.

The name is not a promise of winning selections or financial returns.

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